Terrain makes production a local question
Montana is mountainous, and surrounding terrain shades low sun angles in ways that latitude alone does not predict. Two homes in the same valley can have meaningfully different resource.
Ask what data source the annual production estimate used and whether it applies location-specific irradiance for your address rather than a regional average.
Ask what shading analysis was performed and whether it accounted for terrain as well as trees, and what it assumed about canopy growth over the system life.
Ask for the figure in kilowatt hours per year rather than only as a dollar saving, so the production assumption and the value assumption can be checked separately.
Altitude and cold cut both ways
Cold weather is good for panel efficiency. Modules produce more at low temperature than at high, which is the opposite of the problem Arizona and Alabama homeowners face.
Higher altitude generally means stronger irradiance for a given amount of clear sky, which also helps.
Against that, winter daylight hours are short and snow cover is a real production loss. Ask what snow allowance the model applied and how it was derived.
Ask whether the model accounted for the temperature benefit at all. A generic estimate may apply a standard derate that does not reflect a cold-climate installation.
And what the electricity is worth
Ask which retail rate the projection used and check it against a recent bill, and ask whether fixed monthly charges were included since they do not fall with consumption.
Ask how the model treated credit remaining at the annual settle-up, since that is granted to the utility without compensation and should not appear as value.
Ask what escalation the projection applied and to see it at zero. With no federal credit remaining, the escalator is the main lever left to improve a headline figure.
Ask for the whole thing as an itemised projection rather than a single savings number, so each assumption can be checked on its own.
What survives, and what to ask for
The 30 percent federal Residential Clean Energy Credit under Section 25D expired for property placed in service after December 31, 2025, so a cash or loan purchase in Bozeman receives no federal tax credit. Confirm with the Montana Department of Revenue whether any state credit currently applies.
Section 48E survives at 30 percent for third-party owners under leases and power purchase agreements, so ask what a provider claims and what reaches you in the rate.
What exists is net metering with credits accumulating across the year and forfeit of unused credit at the annual settle-up.
Ask for a location-specific production estimate accounting for terrain, snow and cold-weather performance, with the value side itemised separately.